Weekend Analysis by Amateur-Investor.Net

(6/24/17)

Next Friday will be the end of the 2nd Quarter for the market.  If the S&P 500 remains above the 2363 level, which looks pretty likely at this point, then this will be the 7th Quarter in a row with a positive gain.  Furthermore this would make 16 out of the last 18 quarters with a positive return as well.  

Meanwhile the next area of significant resistance, in the S&P 500, appears to be just above near the 2485 level.  This level is the 200% Extension Level calculated from the 2007 high to the 2009 low.

As the market has continued higher volatility remains near all time lows.  The VIX continues to exhibit a descending Triangle pattern.  Typically this type of pattern is followed by a significant reversal to the upside.   Thus one would expect a reversal at some point.

Naturally if the VIX were to reverse to the upside then a correction would follow in the S&P 500.  Notice the upward trend line (purple line) and previous resistance area (black line) reside just above the 2100 level.  Thus this would be a potential target area if a correction were to develop.  

 

 

 


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