Weekend Analysis by Amateur-Investor.Net

(9/15/18)

The S&P 500 held support at its 20 Day MA (green line) this week as the VIX encountered resistance along its downward trend line once again.  

One of these days the VIX will break above its downward trend line and will make an upward move back to around the 20 level which is the 23.6% Retracement Level.

Furthermore since the VIX and S&P 500 usually move in opposite directions a move up to the 20 level would probably lead a drop back to the bottom of the upward channel in he S&P 500 which is now around the 2840 area.

Finally the the longest Bull Market on record continues as it has been 3477 days since a 20% correction has occurred, in the S&P 500, based on daily closing values. 

Longest Bull Markets (# of consecutive days without a 20% correction) 

Start End Days % Gain % Correction
3/9/2009 ? 3477 337.1 ?
10/11/1990 3/24/2000 3453 417.0 50.5
8/24/1921 9/7/1929 2937 348.9 86.2
6/13/1949 4/6/1956 2490 260.5 21.5
8/12/1982 8/25/1987 1839 228.8 35.9
10/9/2002 10/9/2007 1826 101.5 57.7
2/27/1933 3/6/1937 1469 237.8 59.9

 

 

 

 

 


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