Causes of Stock Market Crash in 1929
There were a few things which may have led to causes of Stock Market Crash in 1929 such as the beginning of the Great Depression and a Stock Market Bubble similar to what recently occurred in the Nasdaq.
I thought this week I would show some historical perspective of the stock market. Notice what happened in the 1920's and 1930's and compare that to what the Nasdaq has done since 1990. From 1924, when the Dow was around 100, until the Dow peaked in 1929 around 375 it appreciated near 275% over a 5 1/2 year period before crashing in late 1929 and losing 87% of its value from late 1929 through 1932. Meanwhile the Nasdaq which really started to take off in 1995, when it was near 1000 peaked in early 2000 just above 5100 and appreciated nearly 400% over the 5 year period before selling off severely as well and losing 78% of its value from 2000 through 2002.
Granted the causes of Stock Market Crash in 1929 may have been different than today however the charts of the Dow and Nasdaq look very similar. Also notice what happened to the Dow after it finally bottomed in 1932. It was followed by a steady up trend through 1936.
As shown by the table below after the stock market crashed in 1929 the Dow suffered horrific losses from 1929-1932 but then had four consecutive up years from 1933-1936. Can the Nasdaq pull off a similar feat from 2003-2006?
Year | Dow | Year | Nasdaq |
Return | Return | ||
1920 | -32.9% | 1990 | -17.8% |
1921 | 12.7% | 1991 | 56.8% |
1922 | 21.7% | 1992 | 15.5% |
1923 | -3.3% | 1993 | 14.7% |
1924 | 26.2% | 1994 | -3.2% |
1925 | 30.0% | 1995 | 39.9% |
1926 | 0.3% | 1996 | 22.7% |
1927 | 28.8% | 1997 | 21.6% |
1928 | 48.2% | 1998 | 39.6% |
1929 | -17.2% | 1999 | 85.6% |
1930 | -33.8% | 2000 | -39.3% |
1931 | -52.7% | 2001 | -21.1% |
1932 | -23.1% | 2002 | -31.5% |
1933 | 66.7% | 2003 | ? |
1934 | 4.1% | 2004 | ? |
1935 | 38.5% | 2205 | ? |
1936 | 24.8% | 2006 | ? |