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What is the Bullish-Bearish Indicator Signaling?

The % of Bullish Investment Advisors as tracked by Investors Intelligence has recently risen above the 60% level.  The last time the % of Bullish Investment Advisors rose to 60% was in March (point A) which signaled a top in the S&P 500 and was followed by a correction that lasted until mid August (points B to C).  Going back even further shows that the % of Bullish Investment Advisors also rose to 60% in June of 2003 as well (point D).  However in this case the S&P 500 basically traded sideways (TR) from July of 2003 through September of 2003 before rallying strongly from October of 2003 through early March of 2004 (points E to B).

With such a large amount of Bullishiness in the market it appears two scenarios could develop in the weeks ahead.  First we could eventually see some type of correction develop lasting several weeks like occurred in the S&P 500 from March to August of this year.  Meanwhile a second scenario we could eventually see develop would be for the S&P 500 to trade sideways for several weeks like occurred from June of 2003 through September of 2003.  At this point it's still not clear which scenario may evolve in the weeks ahead.

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