Amateur Investors Daily Breakout Report for February 1, 2005

End of the Month Trading Strategy for the SPY's

(Updated 12/30/11)

Entry Level Price Number of Winning Trades Number of Losing Trades % of Winning Trades

5 Cents Below Open 101 5 95%

50 Cents Below Open 60 3 95%

$1 Below Open 30 2 94%

Total 180 9 95%

The # of Winning Trades and Losing Trades are shown below for each year since 2000 for each month. Winning Trades are shown by the letter "W" and Losing Trades by the letter "L". If an entry price wasn't reached it's denoted by "NA". Also I have included for each entry price if a $1, $2 or $3 gain was reached for each trade (highlighted in blue). Finally the amount of profit or loss realized for each trade based on buying 300 shares and scaling out of the position as described above is also shown (highlighted in red).

Date Entry 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00 Gain Gain Gain 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00

Price Below Below Below $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 Below Below Below

2011 Open Open Open Open Open Open

Jan No Signal

2/25 131.40 Y N N Y/Y/N 600

Mar No Signal

5/5
134.08
Y Y Y Y/N/N Y/Y/N Y/Y/N 300 600 600

6/6 129.70 Y Y N Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 900 900

June No Signal

8/2
125.66
Y Y Y N/N/N Y/N/N Y/N/N
-900
300 300

Sep No Signal

10/4
108.35
Y Y N Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 900 900

Nov No Signal

Date Entry 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00 Gain Gain Gain 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00

Price Below Below Below $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 Below Below Below

2010 Open Open Open Open Open Open

1/25/10 110.21 L L NA NA NA -900 -900

Feb No Signal

March No Signal

5/7/10 115.81 Y Y N Y/Y/N Y/Y/N NA 300 300

5/24/10 105.11 Y Y N Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

6/30/10 103.92 Y Y Y Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 900 900 900

July No Signal

8/27/10 105.89 Y Y Y Y/N/N Y/N/N Y/Y/N 300 300 600

9/30/10 No Signal

10/30/10 No Signal

Nov No Signal

Dec No Signal

Profit 1500 1200 1500

Date Entry 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00 Gain Gain Gain 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00

Price Below Below Below $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 Below Below Below

Open Open Open Open Open Open

2009

January No Signal

3/4/09 71.23 W W NA Y/N/N Y/Y/N NA 100 300

March No Signal

4/29/09 86.52 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 400

5/26/09 88.36 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

June No Signal

July No Signal

9/3/09 99.77 W NA NA Y/Y/Y 600

10/2/09 102.85 W NA NA y/y/y 600

October No Signal

November No Signal

December No Signal

Profit 2300 300

Date Opening 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00 Gain Gain Gain 5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00

Price Below Below Below $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 $1/$2/$3 Below Below Below

Open Open Open Open Open Open

2000

1/31/2000 135.46 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

2/28/2000 133.02 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

3/30/2000 149.81 NA W W Y/N/N Y/Y/N Y/Y/Y 500 600

4/28/2000 146.65 W W W Y/N/N Y/N/N Y/N/N 300 300 300

5/26/2000 138.46 W W W Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 600 600 600

6/29/2000 144.40 W W W Y/Y/N Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 500 600 600

7/31/2000 145.59 W W W Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 600 600 600

8/31/2000 150.71 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

9/28/2000 142.84 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

10/27/2000 137.52 NA W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 600 600

11/29/2000 132.15 NA W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 600 600

12/26/2000 130.49 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

Profit 4900 5600 3900

2001

1/29/2001 135.15 W NA NA Y/Y/Y Y/N/N NA 600

2/23/2001 124.73 NA W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/N 500 500

3/30/2001 115.20 NA W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/N 500 500

4/30/2001 126.10 W W W Y/N/N Y/N/N Y/Y/N 100 300 500

5/30/2001 126.24 NA W W NA Y/N/N Y/N/N 100 300

6/27/2001 121.25 W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/N NA 500 500

7/26/2001 118.71 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

8/29/2001 116.78 NA L L NA NA NA -900 -900

9/28/2001 102.63 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

10/30/2001 107.00 NA W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/Y 500 600

11/29/2001 113.31 W W NA Y/N/N Y/N/N NA 100 300

12/27/2001 114.95 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

Profit 2500 2400 1500

2002

1/30/2002 110.04 W W W Y/Y/N Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 500 600 600

3/4/2002 113.55 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

3/26/2002 113.17 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

4/25/2002 108.86 L NA NA NA NA NA -900

5/30/2002 106.20 W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/N NA 400 500

6/27/2002 98.15 W W W Y/Y/N Y/Y/N Y/Y/Y 400 500 600

7/29/2002 87.15 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

8/29/2002 90.92 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

9/25/2002 83.02 W W W Y/Y/N Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 500 600 600

10/31/2002 89.31 W W W Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y 600 600 600

11/29/2002 94.45 W W W Y/N/N Y/N/N Y/Y/N 100 300 400

12/30/2002 87.44 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

Profit 4400 3700 2800

2003

1/31/2003 83.80 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

2/28/2003 84.12 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 100

3/28/2003 86.12 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

4/29/2003 91.79 W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/N NA 500 500

6/2/2003 97.18 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

6/26/2003 97.42 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 100

8/6/2003 96.34 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

8/26/2003 99.15 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

9/26/2003 100.09 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

10/29/2003 104.42 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

11/25/2003 105.38 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

12/30/2003 110.74 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

Profit 5300 2300

2004

1/29/2004 113.21 W W W Y/N/N Y/N/N Y/Y/N 100 300 500

2/25/2004 114.11 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

3/26/2004 112.64 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

4/30/2004 111.82 NA W W NA Y/N/N Y/Y/N 300 500

5/25/2004 109.55 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

6/29/2004 113.18 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 100

7/27/2004 108.70 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

8/30/2004 110.88 NA W NA NA Y/Y/N NA 500

9/28/2004 110.56 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

10/27/2004 111.03 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

12/1/2004 118.16 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

12/29/2004 121.08 NA NA NA NA NA NA

Profit 3500 1700 1000

2005

1/26/2005 117.32 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

2/23/2005 118.97 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

3/28/2005 117.42 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

4/28/2005 115.27 W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/N NA 500 500

5/27/2005 120.06 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 100

6/27/2005 118.97 W W W Y/N/N NA NA 300

7/27/2005 123.50 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 100

8/30/2005 121.25 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

9/28/2005 121.91 W W NA Y/N/N Y/N/N NA 100 300

10/28/2005 118.43 W NA NA Y/Y/Y NA NA 600

12/1/2005 126.02 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 100

12/30/2005 125.10 W W NA Y/Y/N Y/Y/Y NA 500 600

Profit 4200 2000

2006

1/26/2006 127.28 W W NA Y/N/N Y/Y/N NA 300 500

3/1/2006 128.60 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

3/29/2006 129.41 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

4/28/2006 130.79 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 100

5/25/2006 126.92 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

6/28/2006 124.24 W W NA Y/Y/Y Y/Y/Y NA 600 600

7/31/2006 127.66 W NA NA Y/N/N NA NA 300

8/29/2006 130.49 W W NA Y/N/N Y/N/N NA 100 300

10/4/2006 133.23 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

11/2/2006 136.51 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

11/28/2006 138.24 W NA NA Y/Y/N NA NA 500

12/22/06 140.81 NA NA NA NA NA NA

Profit 3800 1400

The final table shows what the % return would have been based on buying 300 shares at each entry level price defined above.

5 Cents 50 Cents $1.00

Below Below Below Total %

Open Open Open Profit Gain

2000 4900 5600 3900 14400 48.0

2001 2500 2400 1500 6400 21.3

2002 4400 3700 2800 10900 36.3

2003 5300 2300 0 7600 25.3

2004 3500 1700 1000 6200 20.7

2005 4200 2000 0 6200 20.7

2006 2000 3800 1400 5200 17.3

2007 3900 1400 300 5600 18.7

2008 5900 2400 2400 10700 35.7

2009 2300 300 0 2600 8.7

2010 1500 1200 1500 4200 14.0

Total 40400 26800 14800 80000 266.7%

Thus the total profit using this strategy would have been $75,800 or a 252.7% gain during the past 11 years with an average yearly return of 24.2%.

Amateur Investors