The Stock Market Crash of 1929

The Stock Market Crash of 1929 occurred at the beginning of the Great Depression and led to a Stock Market Bubble similar to what has occurred in the Nasdaq from 2000 to 2002.   

Notice what happened in the 1920's and 1930's and compare that to what the Nasdaq has done since 1990.  From 1924, when the Dow was around 100, until the Dow peaked in 1929 around 375 it appreciated near 275% over a 5 1/2 year period before crashing in late 1929 and losing 87% of its value from late 1929 through 1932.  Meanwhile the Nasdaq which really started to take off in 1995, when it was near 1000 peaked in early 2000 just above 5100 and appreciated nearly 400% over the 5 year period before selling off severely as well and losing 78% of its value from 2000 through 2002.

If you compare the stock chart of the Dow before the Stock Market Crash of 1929 to the more recent chart of the Nasdaq they look very similar.  Also notice what happened to the Dow after it finally bottomed in 1932.  It was followed by a steady up trend through 1936.   

As shown by the table below after the stock market crashed in 1929 the Dow suffered horrific losses from 1929-1932 but then had four consecutive up years from 1933-1936.   Can the Nasdaq pull off a similar feat from 2003-2006 just like the Dow did after the stock market crash of 1929? 


Dow Year Nasdaq
Return Return
1920 -32.9% 1990 -17.8%
1921 12.7% 1991 56.8%
1922 21.7% 1992 15.5%
1923 -3.3% 1993 14.7%
1924 26.2% 1994 -3.2%
1925 30.0% 1995 39.9%
1926 0.3% 1996 22.7%
1927 28.8% 1997 21.6%
1928 48.2% 1998 39.6%
1929 -17.2% 1999 85.6%
1930 -33.8% 2000 -39.3%
1931 -52.7% 2001 -21.1%
1932 -23.1% 2002 -31.5%
1933 66.7% 2003 50.0%
1934 4.1% 2004 8.6%
1935 38.5% 2005 1.4%
1936 24.8% 2006 ?

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