Yearly Performance Statistics late 1999 through 2014

(Starting in 2012 we switched to a Longer Term Strategy based on
Signals from our Mutual Fund Panic Index and Breadth Thrusts)

 

2014

Performance versus the S&P 500

Amateur Investors:  11.8%
S&P 500:  11.3%

 

2013

Performance versus the S&P 500

Amateur Investors:  34.8%
S&P 500:  29.6%

 

2012

Performance versus the S&P 500

Amateur Investors:  13.4%
S&P 500:  13.4%

 

2011

Long Trades

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 9
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions: 9 (100%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  0 
Net Gain:  +8.3%

Short Trades

# of Hypothetical Positions (Short): 18
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  18 (100%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  0 
Net Gain:  +11.5%

Performance vs the Major Averages 2011 % Return
ETF Daily Strategy 19.8%
401K/TSP Strategy 0.0%
End of Month Strategy 17.7%
   
Dow 5.5%
Nasdaq -1.8%
S&P 500 0.0%

 

 

 

2010

Long Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 7
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  (86%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  1 (14%)
Net Gain:  +51.6%

Short Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 5
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  4 (80%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  1 (17.4%)
Net Gain:  +23.4%

Performance vs the Major Averages 2010 % Return
Amateur Investors (Long Term Strategy) +51.6%
Amateur Investors (Short Term Strategy) +17.4%
ETF Daily Strategy +27.0%
401K/TSP Strategy +12.8%
End of Month Strategy +14.0%
Dow +11.0%
Nasdaq +16.9%
S&P 500 +12.8%

 

 

2009

Long Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 7
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  7 (100%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  0 (0%)
Net Gain:  +46.6%

Short Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 7
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  7 (100%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  0 (0%)
Net Gain:  +23.4%

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2007

Performance vs the Major Averages 2009 % Return
Amateur Investors (Long Term Strategy) +46.6%
Amateur Investors (Short Term Strategy) +23.4%
ETF Daily Strategy +44.0%
401K/TSP Strategy NA
End of Month Strategy +8.7%
Dow +18.8%
Nasdaq +43.8%
S&P 500 +23.4%

 

2008

Long Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 4
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  4 (100%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  0 (0%)
Net Gain:  +0.0%

Short Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 4
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  4 (100%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  0 (0%)
Net Gain:  +3.0%

Performance vs the Major Averages 2008

% Return
Amateur Investors (Long Term Strategy) +0.0%
Amateur Investors (Short Term Strategy) +3.3%
ETF Daily Strategy +33.0%
401K/TSP Strategy +17.3%
End of Month Strategy +35.7%
Dow -33.8%
Nasdaq -40.6%
S&P 500 -38.5%

 

 

2007

Long Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 38
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  24 (63%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  14 (37%)
Net Gain:  +22%

Short Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 32
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  25 (78%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  7 (22%)
Net Gain:  +16%

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2007

ETF Daily Strategy

DIA:       +25%
QQQQ:  +38%
SPY:      +27%
OIH:      +61%

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/1/07-12/31/07)

                                      Amateur Investors (Long Term)           +22% 

                                      Amateur Investors (Short Term)          +16%  

            ETF Daily Strategy (Average Return)  +35%

                                                   Dow                                           +6.4%  

                                                   Nasdaq                                      +9.8%  
                                                   S&P 500                                   +3.5%  

 

 

2006

Long Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 74
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  50 (68%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  24 (33%)
Net Gain:  +30%

Short Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 61 
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  44 (72%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  17 (28%)
Net Gain:  +33%

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2006

ETF Daily Strategy

DIA:       +40%
QQQQ:  +49%
SPY:      +52%

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/1/06-12/31/06)

                                      Amateur Investors (Long Term)           +30% 

                                      Amateur Investors (Short Term)          +33%  

                     ETF Daily Strategy (Average Return)  +47%

                                                   Dow                                           +16.3%  

                                                   Nasdaq                                       +9.5%  
                                                   S&P 500                                    +13.6%  


2005

Long Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 119
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  69 (58%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  50 (38%)
Net Gain:  22.8%

# of Hypothetical Positions (Short):  26
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  22 (85%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  3 (15%)
Net Gain:  8.4%

Short Term Strategy

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 100 
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  84 (84%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  16 (15%)
Net Gain:  63.9%

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2005

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/1/05-12/31/05)

                                               Amateur Investors (Long Term)  +31.2% 

                                               Amateur Investors (Short Term) +63.9%  

                                                           Dow                                           -0.6%  

                                                           Nasdaq                                     +1.4%  
                                                           S&P 500                                   +3.0%  

 

2004

# of Hypothetical Positions (Long): 144 
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  93 (65%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  51 (35%)
Net Gain:  43.8%

# of Hypothetical Positions (Short):  67
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  47 (70%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  20 (30%)
Net Gain:  25.0%

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2004

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/1/04-12/31/04)

Amateur Investors   +68.8%  

Dow               +3.1%  
Nasdaq             +8.6%  
        S&P 500           +9.0%  

2003

# of Hypothetical Positions:  172
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  109 (63%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  63 (37%)

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2003

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/3/03-12/31/03)

Amateur Investors   +119.3%  

Dow               +25.3%  
Nasdaq             +50.0%  
        S&P 500           +26.4%  

2002

# of Hypothetical Positions:  82
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  55 (67%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  27 (33%)

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2002 

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/1/02-12/31/02)

Amateur Investors   +48.9%  

Dow               -16.7%  
Nasdaq             -31.5%  
        S&P 500           -23.3%  

2001

# of Hypothetical Positions:  139
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  87 (63%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  52 (37%)

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2001 

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/1/01-12/31/01)

Amateur Investors   +51.3%  

Dow                 -7.1%  
Nasdaq             -21.0%  
        S&P 500           -13.0%  

2000

# of Hypothetical Positions :  192
# of Winning or Breakeven Positions:  140 (73%)
# of Stop Loss Positions:  52 (27%)

Click here for a complete list of every stock listed in the AII Portfolio in 2000 

Performance vs Major Averages
(1/1/00-12/31/00)

Amateur Investors   +277.3%  

Dow                  -6.2%  
Nasdaq             -39.2%  
        S&P 500           -10.1%  

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